We head into Week 10 following a few robust beats. I really feel like this can be a recurring theme right here recently. Let’s attempt to reverse that pattern and choose some winners! I’ve performed the analysis for you in case you’re feeling a bit of frisky and wish to place a wager on a prop or two.
Listed below are some gamers I’ve recognized that could possibly be worthwhile for you.
File so far for the 2021 NFL season: 12-15 (-5.25 items)
Editor’s observe: All betting strains are courtesy of Sports activities Interplay and are present as of the time of publication.
Minnesota Vikings @ Los Angeles Chargers 4:05 p.m. ET
Wager to observe: RB Dalvin Prepare dinner complete speeding yards (Over 90.5 -110, Below 90.5 -130)
The Vikings go to SoFi Stadium to tackle the Chargers recent off back-to-back losses, whereas Los Angeles escaped with a last-second win in Philadelphia final week. We wish to zero in on Dalvin Prepare dinner’s complete speeding yards prop right here.
Prepare dinner carried the ball 17 occasions for 110 yards that was highlighted by a 66-yard scamper in Minnesota’s additional time loss in Baltimore final week. He’s averaging 4.8 yards per rush this season with three runs which have exceeded 20 yards. If you happen to dig into the superior numbers, Prepare dinner has been meh this season by averaging simply 2.0 yards after contact, however his 71.3 constructive run proportion is above league common. The 26-yar-old working again is getting 21.7 touches per recreation and is on the sector for 70.40 per cent of Minnesota’s snaps on offence.
The Chargers, in the meantime, have been a catastrophe when making an attempt to cease the run this season. Los Angeles is useless final within the NFL by giving up 161.6 yards per recreation on the bottom. The Bolts have additionally coughed up 154.5 speeding yards at dwelling this season which ranks thirtieth within the league.
Take a wild guess on who the worst staff is towards working backs over the previous eight weeks? Yup, it’s the Chargers. LA is giving up 4.88 yards per carry to working backs which is useless final and surrendering 933 speeding yards to working backs which is thirty first.
Decide: The Chargers proceed to point out that they will’t decelerate working backs this season. Mike Zimmer needs his Vikings to be a run-first staff and this matchup is simply too good. Take Dalvin Prepare dinner’s complete of 90.5 speeding yards to go OVER at -110.
Kansas Metropolis Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders 8:20 p.m. ET
Wager(s) to observe: TE Travis Kelce complete receiving yards (Over 75.5 -120, Below 75.5 -120), TE Darren Waller complete receiving yards (Over 68.5 -120, Below 68.5 -120)
The Chiefs go to Las Vegas to face the Raiders on this essential AFC West showdown on Sunday Night time Soccer. Certainly one of these groups may discover themselves alone in first place of their division by the top of the evening, however we wish to deal with is a pair of famous person tight ends and their receiving yard totals.
Travis Kelce caught 5 passes for 68 yards on eight targets towards Inexperienced Bay final week. Kelce has 54 receptions for 628 yards this season which ranks first in each classes for tight ends this season. Quantity as soon as once more isn’t a difficulty in any respect for the 32-year-old tight finish. Kelce has acquired 79 targets and is averaging 7.9 yards per goal this season.
The superior metrics on Kansas Metropolis’s No. 1 tight finish are terrific as standard. He’s averaging 70.8 air yards per recreation, 1.22 air yards per snap and his common depth of goal is 8.0 yards. Kelce can be averaging 22.3 per cent of the Chiefs’ staff targets and is enjoying a mean of 85.15 per cent of KC’s snaps on offence. The All-Professional tight finish additionally murdered the Raiders final season. Kelce racked up 16 receptions (8 per recreation) for 235 receiving yards (117.5 per recreation) on 22 targets (11 per recreation) towards Las Vegas in 2020.
The Raiders, in the meantime, have been struggling to cease tight ends this season. Las Vegas’ move defence has given up 515 receiving yards to TEs over the previous eight weeks which ranks thirtieth within the NFL. Vegas has yielded 8.05 yards per goal to tight ends over their previous eight weeks which is twenty second within the league throughout that span.
Darren Waller returned from a one-game absence and hauled in seven receptions for 92 yards on 11 targets final Sunday towards the Giants. Waller has 40 receptions for 470 yards in seven video games this season for the Raiders. The 29-year-old has averaged 7.3 yards per goal on 69 targets in 2021. Waller can be averaging 90.1 air yards per recreation, 1.53 air yards per snap and his common depth of goal is 9.7 yards. Waller was rock stable towards the Chiefs final season and had 12 receptions (6 per recreation) for 136 yards (68 per recreation) on 14 targets (7 per recreation).
Kansas Metropolis has been on the wrestle bus this season when making an attempt to decelerate the tight finish place. The Chiefs have coughed up 9.75 yards per goal to TEs over their previous eight weeks which ranks thirty first within the NFL. KC has allowed 497 receiving yards to tight ends which ranks twenty seventh within the league over the previous eight weeks.
Decide: Each the Raiders and the Chiefs haven’t performed a great job of shutting down tight ends over their previous eight weeks. Travis Kelce has feasted on the Raiders in his profession, whereas Darren Waller has had loads of success towards the Chiefs. I believe there’s worth right here with this matchup organising properly for each gamers. Take Kelce’s receiving complete of 75.5 to go OVER at -120, and seize Waller’s receiving complete of 68.5 to additionally go OVER the overall right here at -120.