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Why Mitch Trubisky would be the largest free company winner this yr

The NFL free company interval doesn’t start till March 16, however we already know who the massive winner goes to be. Mitch Trubisky gained’t be the best paid signing this yr, however a dearth of QB expertise and loads of needy groups will trigger him to earn far above his market worth.

It’s reached an absolute fever-pitch surrounding the previous Bears QB, to the point that some truly ludicrous comparisons are being made, including this from

“Statistically in Years 2-4, Trubisky compares favorably to the likes of Peyton Manning, Ben Roethlisberger and Philip Rivers at that time of their careers.”

Trubisky is now not a Hail Mary QB signing, he’s being in comparison with Corridor of Fame-caliber gamers. It’s foolish season, and nothing is sillier than this. We gained’t know for certain how excessive these bidding wars will go, however we do have some concepts. ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler said Trubisky’s name is one of the hottest in the market, and that would simply result in a crew paying upward of $10 million per season.

On the floor which may not sound like rather a lot for a beginning QB, but it surely’s super for a participant who final made a paltry $2.5 million serving as Josh Allen’s backup in Buffalo. It’s much more unbelievable when you think about that Trubisky didn’t actually do something of be aware, outdoors of a play for a steady franchise.

There’s just one actual sport that confirmed indicators Trubisky may nonetheless be an efficient beginning quarterback, and that got here in Week 2 of preseason in 2021. Dubbed the “Trubisky Revenge Recreation,” this was Mitch returning to Chicago to face the Bears, tearing them up by fully 20-of-28 passes for 221 yards and a landing. It was a pleasant efficiency, certain — however is that basically sufficient to justify an enormous contract? It’s, solely as a result of groups consider it’s.

To be truthful, it’s much less about that one sport, and extra a notion that the Bears had been incompetent with their dealing with of the previous No. 2 total decide. That’s most likely a good guess, but it surely additionally requires a hell of a leap of religion.

If we assume Trubisky makes $10 million a yr (and actually, it may go rather a lot increased) then it’s over double what Teddy Bridgewater made signing with the Broncos final yr, nearly three-times what Marcus Mariota made. Each gamers are way more confirmed commodities than Trubisky, however desperation causes unusual bedfellows. Make no errors, there are very determined instances for QB-needy groups. The Steelers and Saints are attempting to get well from the retirement of their Corridor of Fame caliber QBs, the Giants aren’t one hundred pc offered on Daniel Jones (and rumored to be interested in Trubisky), the Seahawks want a brand new QB after buying and selling Russell Wilson, the Colts are on the lookout for a passer too, and the Panthers, properly, they only signal QBs for enjoyable at this level — even when it goes poorly.

Compounding these points is a mushy draft on the place. Even probably the most stalwart followers of the 2022 QB class admit that every one these gamers want seasoning. There isn’t any evident Day 1 starter, outdoors of perhaps Kenny Pickett, although he has in personal considerations about hand dimension, angle, and skill to translate his sport to the NFL. Essentially the most promising prospect, Malik Willis, is completely not able to take over a franchise instantly — and his success will possible hinge on touchdown with a protected, steady group the place he can sit for a yr or two behind a confirmed QB, to be taught not solely an NFL offense however get vital reps in follow in opposition to NFL competitors.

Ought to the gamble be proper, and Trubisky actually was merely a case of touchdown within the flawed place on the flawed time, then $10 million a yr is a relative steal for a beginning QB. Nevertheless, that feels extra like a prayer than a plan — and the groups needing passers proper now want strong plans.

There’s additionally a case to be made for doing each. This might contain signing Trubisky to a short-term deal, whereas additionally drafting a QB to attend within the wings. This might be a better of each worlds play, which may satiate followers instantly, whereas additionally having a tangible plan for the longer term. It might additionally permit Trubisky to indicate what he’s made from as a starter in a brand new state of affairs, doubtlessly getting one other large contract on the tail finish for his hassle.

It doesn’t matter what occurs subsequent, it’s a hell of an excellent time to be Mitch Trubisky. It’s solely getting higher as groups commerce away their starters. With Rodgers returning to Inexperienced Bay groups will now look to the following neatest thing available on the market, and that very properly might be Trubisky. He’s discovered himself shifting from being an afterthought, to entrance of thoughts — and the dude goes to get paid.

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